Wall Street remained tense as fears of global
recessions are on the loom. Even Fed policymakers are saying
the economy appears to be in a recession. Investors examined data
and looked for clues on economy as Dow Jones was down 380 at one
point, rose more than 400 points in the final hour of trading.
Even with government intervention to calm market down
it is unclear what Bush administration will do next. Report on
earnings showed negative signs and this season many customers most
likely would stick to their budget or don't spend money at all. This
leaves retailers in red mark for upcoming season.
Investors don't know yet how economic turmoil will
turn out, but today clearly there were more buyers coming back to
market. Better than expected news from Labor Department on consumer
prices send Dow Jones higher.
Wall Street is expected to remain volatile as
investors are either cashing out or remain in market for short term.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke left the door
open for another rate cut saying that inflation pressures are
moderating. Market is worried about the whole international economic
downturn. The market is suffering from weak retail sales report,
rising unemployment, tight credit and slumping home prices which
shows substantial further deterioration.
Earlier, when government announced it would be pouring
$250 billion into bank stocks market seemed to turn around from big
looses. However; banks posted quarterly losses due to credit related
troubles. Citigroup lost $2.8 billion in the third quarter, while
Bank of American posted $5.1 billion loss.
Banks loss of money not only comes from borrowing
loans but as well now troubled credit card crises as more borrowers
simply cannot repay balances. After mortgage and home equity loans,
next tight rules will come for credit cards.
For consumers there is no equity in homes and so they
rely on their credit card balances to pay for living expenses.
Consumers hit their limit and once the limit is reached in most
cases consumer will walk away from credit card leaving unpaid
balance.
However, the amount of credit card debt is currently
smaller than mortgage debt. There is approximately $1 trillion of
unpaid credit card and over $14 trillion of mortgages. But credit
card debt is piling up.
In this case credit card issuers can tighten their
underwriting standard, as they have time now to prepare and reduce
debt quicker than compared to mortgages.
Tighten credit will help credit card issuers but it
will limit on number of borrowers. People are spending far more than
they earn and this will have an effect on economy.
There will be many rejected applications; many
customers will be maxed out as new credit will become tighter.
The new economic reality will bring some ups and downs
on Wall Street and as Ben Bernanke told the Economic Club of New
York on Wednesday "Stabilization of the financial markets is a
critical first step, but even if they stabilize as we hope they
will, broader economic recovery will not happen right away."