Another back and forth session was ended on Wall
Street with cheers of easing credit markets. But analysts still warn
that market faces rough times.
With the current economic downturn, many companies are
reporting job cuts, as they brace for what could be long recession.
This week PepsiCo and Danaher reported they would lay off thousands
of workers. This situation may worsen as holidays approach and
layoffs are common in tough times.
Governments around the world pledged billions of
dollars to help economy and stabilize markets. Market may remain
mixed again next week as everyone expects financial market to
stabilize further. Some of this week's heavy selling came in
response to disappointing economic reports.
The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for
three-month dollar loans fell to 4.41 percent from 4.50 percent on
Thursday, the fifth consecutive day of declines. The three-month
Treasury bill Friday yielded 0.82 percent, up from 0.47 percent on
Thursday.
The new rescue plan of buying bad mortgages should
slow job cuts, if it doesn't more people will loose jobs. More and
more companies will be resizing their business, cutting jobs,
reducing so they can turn profit for next quarter.
Consumers will be very careful of spending this year
and 2009 may bring another job cuts. While credit card market is not
helping banks to get back as well, banks are tightening their
guidelines on mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and other
financing and loan options. Consumers are defaulting on their credit
cards as home values have dropped and they cannot refinance
anymore.
But there could be a massive overreaction in the
market, but this weak market was down 20% which credits to financial
problems leading to recessions. If a financial crisis is not solved,
it could weaken. President Bush on Friday said in a speech that the
credit market, where many companies find funding for their
operations will take a while to thaw, but that Americans should be
confident that it will.
While the economic outlook darkened a survey by the
National Association of Home Builders showed builders hit a record
low in early October. The Commerce Department said Friday that
construction of new homes and apartments dropped by a
bigger-than-expected 6.3 percent in September to an annual rate of
817,000 units.
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett said in opinion
piece in The New York Times that he sees opportunity in the Wall
Street chaos. He's been moving his personal investments from safe
Treasuries into U.S. stocks. "To be sure, investors are right to be
wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive
positions," Buffett wrote.
"But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the
nation's many sound companies make no sense." The market eventually
will turn around. "So if you wait for the robins, spring will be
over," he said.
Wages grow more slowly when there's higher
unemployment, so the downturn will be affecting most working
families through reduced hours of work. When people loose their
jobs, they will cut back on consumption and people are less able to
pay bills.
PepsiCo will cut 3,300 jobs or 2% of its work
force.
Danaher will cut 1,000 jobs and close 12 plants
Rockwell Automation will cut 600 jobs or 3 percent
Best Buy plans to cut seasonal hiring by as many as
10,000 workers this year.
Officials need to do a better job talking to Main
Street and taxpayers, not Wall Street and big
investors.