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Oct.22

Wall Street In Tough Times

 

 

First time homebuyer's data fell 16.6 percent including consumer who wants to refinance. The Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index of mortgage applications fell to lowest levels since 2000.

 

New homebuyers stayed away from purchasing new homes as tight credit and higher qualifications including higher down payments are required to buy a home.  Job insecurity was another leading factor as it may rise to five year high.

 

Many people are staying away from buying a home as prices may still decline or they can't get a mortgage. The Mortgage Bankers Association's purchase applications index fell 10.9 percent to 279.3 in the week ended October 17, while its refinancing applications were down 23.5 percent to 1,158.8

 

A recession appears on the way as rising unemployment and declining spending are still persisting. Due to access of houses on the market residential properties will decline in upcoming 2009 as well as we will se rise in foreclosures.

 

Stocks on the other hand continue to search bottom as investors were getting news about third quarter results in which most cases were grim. Investors are concerned about duration of downturn in earnings and if it will persist in next quarter.

 

Credit markets start to show signs of improvement as bank to bank lending rates fell sharply, indicating that credit is becoming easier to obtain. The London Interbank Offered Rate, or Libor, on three-month loans fell to 3.54 percent from 3.83 percent.

 

News on Wall Street were mixed today as AT&T Inc. said its third-quarter earnings rose 5.5 percent while Travelers rose $1.27, or 3.5 percent, to $37.60, Wachovia fell 10 cents, or 1.6 percent, to $5.99. Merck fell 53 cents, or 1.8 percent, to $29.44

 

A fear of global recession may be around the corner. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said that there will be difficult months ahead.

 

World leader will gather in Washington on Nov.15 to discuss financial meltdown as many U.S companies are feeling the squeeze. Merck & Co. said it will slash 7,200 jobs while Yahoo is slashing 1,500 jobs.

 

A week after Paulson announced $250 billion rescue package to help U.S. banks a new plan of $540 billion run JPMorgan Chase & Co. to purchase from mutual funds certificates of deposit, bank notes and commercial paper. New program called the Money Market Investor Funding Facility, is designed to revive the market for commercial paper, short-term loans that are critical for keeping businesses running.

 

The Fed has already announced that starting next Monday it will begin making direct purchases of commercial paper.

 

Democrats are pushing to assemble another economic plan that could total $150 billion or more. They White house has to endorse the idea but President Bush is willing to consider a stimulus measure.


Earnings season will be rough for investors to brace. Many analysts predict recession will last for a few years as slowdown in economic growth, credit markets and housing will follow economy.

 

 
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