How Could a New President Affect the Real Estate
Market?
The existing real estate market is in decline and current
forecasts do not see a significant rise any time soon. However,
there are many variables that could affect this forecast. Being an
election year, a new president, depending on the policies of his
platform, may be able to change the economy to such an extent that
the real estate market also changes.
There is no guarantee that it will be for the better but it very
well may affect change. This late in the game the front runners for
the election are Barack Obama and John McCain.
Obama is a Democrat who has a proposed housing reform plan. His
reformations include changes to the financial regulatory system to
have stricter controls on financial institutions. Also in his plan
is a system to help with the current foreclosure problem facing many
Americans today. He proposes that the Federal government take steps
to assist those who are in financial straits by buying out or
refinancing existing mortgages to drop monthly payments.
Also, he wants financial institutions to restructure loans as
early as possible when a borrower is having problems. In addition he
wants to increase tax incentives for people who have mortgages so
they can get a break on their taxes. His final initiative includes a
federally funded program costing up to thirty million dollars to
help with the existing foreclosure crisis facing America today.
McCain, a Republican holds that there should be little government
intervention in the banking situation and that the economic issues
should play out naturally. However, recognizing the crisis he is
open to suggestion from leading authorities for temporary solutions
for assistance in order to help the American public through the
crisis. However, he maintains that any assistance should be
temporary and any permanent reform should be in the means of
regulatory changes and increasing the accountability of banks so
that the crisis does not occur again.
He also insists that any financial assistance to the public
should be for those in primary residences to save their home and no
assistance should go to investors in trouble or those who have
trouble keeping up a second home or vacation property. While McCain
is amenable to analyzing the issue and open to discussion regarding
possible solutions for both long and short term, he is non committal
about what his housing policy is and refuses to make it a part of
his campaign. He does not want to play on the fears of the public to
win votes by touting a reform policy that is not feasible or would
not pass.
Both Obama and McCain have recognized the existing housing
problems in the country. Both have acknowledged a need for some type
of reform. They do, however, disagree on how much government should
be involved and in which aspects. Obama has a clear cut strategy for
housing reform as part of his campaign platform but that does not
mean anything will actually come to fruition if he is elected.
McCain has been noncommittal in pinning down specifics but has
stated it is something that will take precedence. How the market
will unfold after the election, though, will depend not so much on
who is elected but what will actually occur when they are. Right
now, there is merely discussion and planning with nothing concrete
evidenced by either side.