Looking back at the interest rates of housing loans
and mortgages, there is an apparent decline in the interest rates of
mortgages in the country. The numbers of today's mortgages are
compared to numbers dating back as far as the 1960's.
Inflation, rise of oil prices and the availability of
funds and credit have contributed to the steep rise of mortgage
rates as high as 15-18 percent during the last three decades.
However, due to the impending global financial crisis and government
intervention, today's rates are at a low rate of an average of 4-6
percent.
Just as any volatile trend in the financial market,
predicting mortgage rates have been very hard. Just like before,
predicting the actual rate of interest in mortgages have been very
broad just as weather prediction. However, using the same techniques
used in weather prediction, financial experts have employed a range
system in predicting the value of mortgage rates. These moderate
predictions are influenced by many factors - inflation, commodities
and government influence to name a few.
Interest rates go up because of inflation and reduced
availability of credit. Factors such as the increase in oil prices
create an upward pressure to the interest rates in mortgages.
Similarly, as financial markets operate on the concept of supply and
demand, they set the standards for the interest rates. A large
supply of money lessens the demand for loans, and vice versa, which
affects the interest rates of mortgages.
With regards to the mortgage rates of today,
government intervention has played a big role in its decline. With
the apparent fear of people losing their homes and seeing
foreclosure, not to mention losing the government's trust, the
government has provided legislation and rulings that ultimately
lowered the interest rate homeowners had to pay for their loans.
Good or Bad?
Some political analysts have postulated that the
government's intervention on lowering interest rates may be
beneficial for the mean time, but is detrimental to the market in
the long run. Some, however, believe that this will help the market
recuperate from the current financial crisis.
Supporters of this plan on lowering interest rates on
home loans believe that this is one way of increasing the demand for
home ownership, and thus spark the economy, albeit in a little
way. One of the main objectives in this plan of lowering
mortgage rates is to stimulate a demand for homes, and make loans
such as business, consumer and mortgage loans more available at a
lower cost.
Market Average of Mortgage Rates
As of this month, top mortgage companies such as
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has reported that the rate for fixed
mortgage loans dropped to an all-time low. For the 30-year loan
alone, the rate dropped from 4.85 to 4.78 percent, the lowest since
1971. 15 year fixed mortgage rates dropped to an all time low
of 4.52 from 4.58 percent as well.
This is clearly a good showing
that the government's plan of boosting the demands for homeownership
has been surely paying off. As of March, it has been reported that
the stocks for homebuilding has grown up 25 %. KB Home, an LA based
company, has had a rise in stocks of 61%, the biggest among
homebuilders. Increase in orders has been reported as well.